Indianapolis 500 predictions

How do you make a prediction for a race where anybody can win? (As long as they are on the starting gird that is; sorry Fernando)

Lets give it a go at least, and see if we can tease any truth from my logical crystal ball.

Who will be drinking the milk?

First, an attempt at being rational. The Ed Carpenter Racing cars have been quick all month, and although it's brave to back anything other than a Penske, that's what I will do - although I'm not narrowing it down to which ECR driver!

Sticking with rational, a more extreme choice might be Graham Rahal, who says his United Rentals Honda felt great on Carb day - although, unlike Friday, he will have to stay off the wall.

Let's stick in a couple of heart-ruling head possibilities too; Marco Andretti starts 10th looking to lift the Andretti Curse on the 50th anniversary of Mario's win. And Conor Daly starts one place further back in an Andretti car, with his best chance ever of showing his undoubted talent.

And lastly, a hunch which has no basis in logic but which I will feel stupid if I don't mention. James Davison to do something spectacular. Whether this is win, I don't know, but now I have said it and covered my bases!

Biggest Movers

Who is going to move up the field by the greatest margin? Alex Rossi started 31st and finished 4th last year. If James Hinchcliffe can match that, he'll be a happy boy, but a ten place improvement should be the minimum expectation. I also expect Ryan Hunter-Reay and the aforementioned Rahal to gain ten positions, or finish in the top ten.

In the Wall

Anybody can end up with their car a carbon fibre shredded mess, and their dreams of winning the race with it. So this is hard to predict. Santino Ferrucci and Felix Rosenqvist are two young chargers who might be a little too exuberant.

Also, given the zero-to-hero story of Juncos and Kyle Kaiser, wouldn't it just be typical of life to stick him back in the wall again, taking him back to zero and ruining all prospects for a future Hollywood movie. Now I've said that, he'll win the race...

Anything else?

Josef Newgarden needs to finish in the top ten to keep up his championship bid. Scott Dixon always finishes in the top ten, whatever the race. Lets see who finishes highest...